河北省山區(qū)地質(zhì)災(zāi)害氣象預(yù)警系統(tǒng)
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河北省國土資源廳“河北省山區(qū)地質(zhì)災(zāi)害氣象預(yù)警系統(tǒng)建設(shè)”項目資助


Meteorological Forecasting and Warning System of Geological Hazards in Mountainous Areas of Hebei Province
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    摘要:

    介紹了國內(nèi)地質(zhì)災(zāi)害預(yù)報預(yù)警方法研究及系統(tǒng)開發(fā)現(xiàn)狀,闡述了河北省山區(qū)地質(zhì)災(zāi)害氣象預(yù)警系統(tǒng)的設(shè)計思路、系統(tǒng)構(gòu)成、主要功能及特點。該系統(tǒng)利用河北省地質(zhì)災(zāi)害區(qū)劃信息、地理信息、氣象觀測和探測信息(稠密區(qū)域氣象觀測站降水、多種多普勒雷達(dá)產(chǎn)品、衛(wèi)星云圖、閃電定位等資料)、數(shù)值模式降水預(yù)報產(chǎn)品等,采用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計、天氣動力學(xué)方法及計算機(jī)應(yīng)用技術(shù),可以方便快捷地生成預(yù)報預(yù)警產(chǎn)品。經(jīng)2007年汛期業(yè)務(wù)應(yīng)用證明,該地質(zhì)災(zāi)害氣象預(yù)警系統(tǒng)可以對地質(zhì)災(zāi)害預(yù)報進(jìn)行及時訂正,減少空、漏報率。

    Abstract:

    The present situation of geological hazard forecasting and warning research and system development is introduced, and the design ideas, system components, main functions and features of the meteorological forecasting and warning system of geological hazards for the mountainous areas of Hebei Province is expounded. The design of the system is reasonable, considering the such information as the geological hazard regionalization, GIS data, meteorological observation (including intensive regional precipitation observation, Doppler radar products, cloud satellite images, lightning position, etc), numerical forecasting products of precipitation, etc. Adopting the mathematical statistical, synopticdynamic method, and advanced computer technology, it is able to create forecasting and warning products conveniently. The operational application in the flood season of 2007 proved that this forecasting and warning system of geological hazards performed well with considerable accuracy and less nohitting and falsehitting rates.

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尤鳳春,史印山,郭麗霞.河北省山區(qū)地質(zhì)災(zāi)害氣象預(yù)警系統(tǒng)[J].氣象科技,2008,36(6):818~821

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  • 收稿日期:2007-10-12
  • 定稿日期:2008-04-21
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