WT模型在山區(qū)高速公路風(fēng)預(yù)報(bào)訂正中的應(yīng)用
CSTR:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡(jiǎn)介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類(lèi)號(hào):

基金項(xiàng)目:

河北省省級(jí)科技計(jì)劃“高速公路復(fù)雜路面高分辨率惡劣天氣精準(zhǔn)預(yù)警技術(shù)研究”(19275413D)資助


Application of WT Model to Wind Forecasting and Correction of Expressway in Mountainous Area
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪(fǎng)問(wèn)統(tǒng)計(jì)
  • |
  • 參考文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 相似文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 引證文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評(píng)論
    摘要:

    利用2001—2020年河北省142個(gè)國(guó)家氣象站逐日最大風(fēng)速資料分析了近20年河北風(fēng)速變化背景。擇選2021年2—5月張家口、崇禮區(qū)域日極大風(fēng)速13.9 m/s以上、日10 min平均風(fēng)速最大值8 m/s以上的30個(gè)代表日,運(yùn)用張承高速公路沿線(xiàn)崇禮國(guó)家氣象站、南窩鋪及場(chǎng)地2套區(qū)域氣象站、高家營(yíng)及西灣子2套交通氣象站的逐分鐘風(fēng)向風(fēng)速觀(guān)測(cè)資料,ECMWF數(shù)值模式輸出的地面10 m風(fēng)預(yù)報(bào)資料,以及3″分辨率的SRTM3地形資料,應(yīng)用Meteodyn WT模型對(duì)張承高速公路沿線(xiàn)2個(gè)解域區(qū)域內(nèi)的風(fēng)預(yù)報(bào)結(jié)果進(jìn)行了訂正和檢驗(yàn)。結(jié)果表明:WT模型輸出風(fēng)速與實(shí)際觀(guān)測(cè)風(fēng)速相關(guān)系數(shù)可達(dá)0.6225并通過(guò)0.001顯著性檢驗(yàn),各代表站模擬的結(jié)果與實(shí)況的誤差80%以上在±2 m/s之間,地形開(kāi)闊處誤差明顯減小;風(fēng)向也表現(xiàn)出很高的一致性。說(shuō)明應(yīng)用WT模型對(duì)山區(qū)高速公路沿線(xiàn)風(fēng)數(shù)值預(yù)報(bào)進(jìn)行訂正是可行的,各地可結(jié)合本地地形數(shù)據(jù)以及相對(duì)穩(wěn)定可靠的風(fēng)的數(shù)值預(yù)報(bào)產(chǎn)品作為WT模型的驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)源,開(kāi)展本地山區(qū)高速公路沿線(xiàn)風(fēng)的訂正應(yīng)用。

    Abstract:

    Using the maximum wind speed data of 142 national meteorological stations in Hebei Province from 2001 to 2020, this paper analyzes the background of wind speed change in Hebei Province in recent 20 years. We select 30 representative days from February to May in 2021 with a daily extreme wind speed over 13.9 m/s and the daily 10min average maximum wind speed over 8 m/s. Using the wind observation data of the meteorological stations in Chongli, Nanwopu, Changdi, Gaojiaying and Xiwanzi, the ground 10 m wind forecast data in the corresponding period of time output by ECMWF model, and the SRTM3 terrain data with 3″ resolution, the wind forecast results along the Zhangcheng Expressway in two regions of Chongli mountain area are simulated and verified by using the WT model. It is found that the correlation coefficient of wind speed of the WT model with actual observation reaches 0.6225 and passes the significance test. The error of more than 80% of the samples between simulation results and the actual situation is controlled within ±2 m/s. The error of the open terrain is obviously small. The wind direction also shows high consistency. It is proved that using the WT model to revise the wind numerical forecast along the mountain expressway is feasible. The local terrain data and the relatively stable and reliable wind numerical forecast products can be used to drive the WT model to carry out the revision application of winds along the highway in mountainous areas.

    參考文獻(xiàn)
    相似文獻(xiàn)
    引證文獻(xiàn)
引用本文

曲曉黎,張杏敏,尤琦,張中杰,吳丹. WT模型在山區(qū)高速公路風(fēng)預(yù)報(bào)訂正中的應(yīng)用[J].氣象科技,2022,50(2):267~272

復(fù)制
分享
相關(guān)視頻

文章指標(biāo)
  • 點(diǎn)擊次數(shù):
  • 下載次數(shù):
  • HTML閱讀次數(shù):
  • 引用次數(shù):
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2021-07-12
  • 最后修改日期:2021-12-23
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線(xiàn)發(fā)布日期: 2022-04-28
  • 出版日期:
文章二維碼
您是第位訪(fǎng)問(wèn)者
技術(shù)支持:北京勤云科技發(fā)展有限公司
塔河县| 丰顺县| 洪湖市| 油尖旺区| 岳阳县| 大邑县| 尼木县| 长乐市| 临城县| 拜城县| 龙山县| 翼城县| 曲靖市| 丹东市| 惠水县| 昌图县| 塔城市| 文水县| 禹城市| 南投县| 罗田县| 逊克县| 中方县| 凉山| 惠来县| 木里| 南投县| 河津市| 霍邱县| 武山县| 浦东新区| 通城县| 东阿县| 平南县| 类乌齐县| 尉氏县| 昆山市| 南安市| 随州市| 长泰县| 洞头县|